Resolves true if the US conducts kinetic strikes on Venezuelan government property within the next 48 hours. False otherwise. Primary sources for this information will be mainstream news reporting.
I may bet on this market.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The 48-hour timer starts on October 31st at 1:00 p.m.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Government property" includes government buildings, vehicles, personnel, etc. Attacking a drug cartel within Venezuelan territory does not count unless they are very clearly acting as an agent of the Venezuelan government.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Attacks on government-owned/public infrastructure (such as roads, bridges, utilities, etc.) would count as attacks on government property for resolution purposes.
Update 2025-11-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Minor incidental damage to government property resulting from an attack on a non-government entity may not count toward resolution, depending on the intent and scale of the damage.
@Magnify I mean attacks on government buildings, vehicles, personnel, etc. Attacking some drug cartel with in Venezuelan territory does not count unless they are very clearly acting as an agent of of the Venezuelan government.
@ElijahRavitzCampbell And damage to roads, infrastructure, etc. don't count even though they're public property?
@ElijahRavitzCampbell but I think minor incidental damage as a result of an attack on a non-government entity might not, depending on the intent and scale of the damage.