MANIFOLD
BrowseUS ElectionNewsAbout
Will China get AGI first?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ1982
2050
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Resolves as YES if the Chinese government or any entity primarily affiliated with China achieves AGI first.

#AI
#️ Technology
#AGI
#🇨🇳 China
#Great Power Conflict
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
3 Comments
Sort by:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3cDHx2_QbPE

soldṀ575NO

@ouroboros 👀

How do you evaluate if AGI is achieved? What are the exact resolution criteria?

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
67% chance
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?
65% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
Will we get AGI before 2026?
2% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?
-

Related questions

Will we get AGI before 2026?
6% chance
Will we get AGI before China surpasses the U.S. as the world's largest economy?
65% chance
Will an AI Lab in China build AGI before 2030?
67% chance
Which company will create AGI first?
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2026?
2% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
81% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
41% chance
What organization will be the first to create AGI?
In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?
-
BrowseElectionNewsAbout