Will someone be killed by a Cruise or Waymo taxi by 2025?
20
Ṁ883Jan 1
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Must be a self-driving taxi "in production". Must be due to an accident, not any criminal sabotage. The accident must be the fault of the robotaxi. If this is disputed by the company, I will automatically resolve based on a legal finding or admission of fault (a comparative negligence finding can result in a % resolution), but in case this doesn't resolve the issue and it is still ambiguous, I will resolve to a % of culpability for the accident I feel is attributable to the robotaxi, (provided no other accidents occur).
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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