Will the German Ampel coalition break apart before the end of its term?
12
Ṁ426
2025
14%
chance

The question will resolve no if the regularly scheduled elections take place between the 27.08.2025 and the 26.10.2024

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I presume you want both dates to be on 2025.

Also, the question title and resolution criteria are not the same. It is possible (if unlikely) that the coalition collapses and another one is elected to serve the remainder of the term of the Bundestag. A Jamaica coalition would have the numbers, for example.