The market will be resolved when one of the following conditions is fulfilled:
Israel announces the conclusion of the military operation in Gaza.
A long-term ceasefire is established between Israel and Hamas or other Gazan authorities.
Hostilities end in some other way.
As soon as one of these criteria is fulfilled and at least a few days pass without the renewal of the fighting, I'll resolve all the answers that are still open to YES.
Until that happens, I'll be resolving each answer to NO as soon as the period that it refers to ends. If a ceasefire is established at the end of the month, I'll delay the resolution a bit to see whether it stays in effect.
I will not bet on this market.
They killed the leader of the political wing, who had limited real power. Sinwar has all the real control over Hamas in the ways that matter.
The current state: Israel and Hamas dig in as pressure builds for a cease-fire in Gaza.
Resolving March as NO.