Track which NATO members significantly increase defense spending following Rutte's warnings. Will resolve based on official NATO quarterly defense expenditure reports.
Sources:
NATO Defense Expenditure Reports: https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49198.htm
Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Due to potential delays in the official 2025 reports, the creator is considering using public information to resolve this market, instead of the originally specified official NATO quarterly defense expenditure reports.
Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will partially resolve this market ahead of the close date.
Answers for countries that met the 2.0% target at the end of 2024 and have not changed policy since will be resolved early.
Update 2025-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has confirmed that the market will be resolved by the end of June 2025, as originally scheduled. This will be the case even if the official NATO reports are not yet available, in which case other public information will be used as the resolution source.
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@TheWabiSabi Want to resolve Portugal NO based on: https://www.removepaywall.com/search?url=https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-14/portugal-aims-to-meet-defense-spending-goal-of-2-of-gdp-in-2025?embedded-checkout=true
As it still need time n 2025 to reach it.
@traders It could be a while before we see an official NATO quarterly defense expenditure report for 2025... anyone oke with using public information to resolve or should we wait for better information?
@TheWabiSabi I'm fine with either, personally. I'd lean toward public reports where the answer is obvious, and wait on detailed official numbers if it will be close.
@EvanDaniel Resolved the ones that already met the 2.0% target in the end of 2024 and hadn't changed policy afterwards. So we now have a couple of ones left.
@TheWabiSabi do you want to extend the close time while we wait for that info? I'm general I'm in favor of letting markets trade until they can resolve, but it's your market and your decision.