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2028 Election
Joshua
Manifold Politics
Premium
Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)
26%
JD Vance (Vice President)
Yes
No
Open options
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
7%
Gavin Newsom (California Governor)
Yes
No
Open options
See 18 more answers
151
Ṁ22k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
26%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
24%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
No
Open options
See 34 more answers
530
Ṁ150k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
27%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
25%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
6%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
See 57 more answers
430
Ṁ20k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
20%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
10%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
9%
Mark Cuban
Yes
No
Open options
See 77 more answers
1277
Ṁ29k
Dylan Slagh
Plus
Who will be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
49%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
14%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
11%
Donald Trump Jr
Yes
No
Open options
5%
Tulsi Gabbard
Yes
No
Open options
See 33 more answers
487
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Democratic nominee?
45%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
13%
Josh Shapiro
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Pete Buttigieg
Yes
No
Open options
8%
Gavin Newsom
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
91
Ṁ20k
PREDYX
Premium
2028 Republican nominee?
50%
JD Vance
Yes
No
Open options
28%
Other
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Vivek Ramaswamy
Yes
No
Open options
4%
Nikki Haley
Yes
No
Open options
See 6 more answers
235
Ṁ40k
skibidist
Mini
2028 Democratic candidate is "Trump of the Dems"?
15%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
52
Ṁ273
Scott Alexander
Plus
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
63%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2246
Ṁ5.5k
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