MANIFOLD
Browse
US Election
News
About
App
Sign in
Dark
Light
(auto)
OpenAI
Deepseek
Israel Ceasefire
TikTok Ban
LA Fire
Oscars 2025
H5N1
Trump
Cabinet
Nintendo Switch 2
Trudeau Resigns
Hard Forkcasts 2025
Korea
Biden
House Speaker
Sora
Bitcoin
2028 Election
AGI Timelines
Taylor Swift
Elon/Tesla
Sama Drama
AI Math
Twitter
ACX 2024
One Piece
Music AI Race
Hard Forkasts 2024
AI 2025
AI Math
Manifold AI
Google DeepMind
AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems
Breakthrough models AlphaProof and AlphaGeometry 2 solve advanced reasoning problems in mathematics
Austin
Crystal
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by the end of 2025?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
2789
á¹€100k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by end of 2025?
90%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
354
á¹€1.8k
Sketchy
Plus
Will an AI get bronze on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
91%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
66
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI score 1st place on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
28%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
107
á¹€1k
Jack
Plus
Will an AI win a gold medal on International Math Olympiad (IMO) 2025?
79%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
58
á¹€1k
Forrest
Plus
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
81%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
202
á¹€1.2k
Sketchy
Mini
Will an AI get silver on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
84%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
22
á¹€170
Ihor Kendiukhov
Premium
When will an AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?
2,027
Lower
Higher
61
á¹€13k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2024?
NO
64
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Conditional on AI getting at least bronze on the IMO, will it get gold by 2025?
80%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
26
á¹€1k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad before 2027?
90%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
60
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
87%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
148
á¹€1.8k
Bolton Bailey
Plus
Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2028?
89%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
46
á¹€1k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
91%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
96
á¹€1.3k
Gigacasting
Plus
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2032?
91%
chance
Trade Yes
Trade No
70
á¹€1k
Browse
Election
News
About
Sign in