Resolves Yes if Trump does not win Nobel Peace Prize 2025 and openly criticizes the Nobel committee for not awarding the prize to him before this market closes.
Update 2025-10-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will only resolve based on Donald Trump's actions and whether he wins the Nobel Peace Prize. If someone else named Ronald Grump (or any similar name) is awarded the prize, this will not affect the resolution of this market.
@ItsMe On second look, he did say "thank you" to Putin who criticized the committee for not giving it to Trump. I don't know if this would count.
@jcb A separate Nobel Piss Piss Prize is being discussed by our committee. If the motion goes through, a competition will be held where the winner's (very pissful) piss will be mailed to the winner of the Nobel Piss Prize as the prize.