When will the AfD be the largest party in Germany according to polls?
23
แน€3721
2026
78%
Q2 2025
4%
Q3 2025
4%
Q4 2025
3%
Q1 2026
1.8%
Q2 2026
1.9%
Q3 2026
2%
Q4 2026
5%
not before 2027

https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/

Only FORSA & INSA counts

  • Update 2025-04-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Tiebreaker Rule Clarification:

    • A scenario where there is a draw (i.e., the AfD ties with another party in the polls) will not count as the AfD being the largest party.

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That's a nice market!

bought แน€150 Q2 2025 YES

@Base What about a draw?

@Primer a draw doesnt count