Will Germany freeze AfD funding in 2024?
Will Germany freeze AfD funding in 2024?
Plus
13
Ṁ1976resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Today the court allowed freezing the funding for NPD. Many hope the same can be done for AfD.
Resolves YES if the Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht) allow the AfD funding freeze.
Resolves NO if the court rules that a funding freeze is unconstitutional.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ67 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ11 | |
| 4 | Ṁ7 | |
| 5 | Ṁ5 |
Sort by:
Made another one which closes shortly before the election in 2025. That feels more meaningful.
Can Germany freeze AfD funding before August 2025?2%
The freeze of funding for the NPD was requested 2019 and decided today in 2024. Even if the parliament requests the Constitutional court to freeze the funding of the AFD and even if the process is faster, this would still probably take years too.
This means a freeze of funding in 2024 is close to impossible.
bought Ṁ200 NO from 7% to 5% 1y
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with 
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is a social prediction market with real-time odds on wide ranging news such as politics, tech, sports and more!
Participate for free in sweepstakes markets to win sweepcash which can be withdrawn for real money!
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why should I trade?
Trading contributes to accurate answers of important, real-world questions and helps you stay more accountable as you make predictions.
Trade with Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.
Sweepcash (𝕊) for a chance to win withdrawable cash prizes.Get started for free! No credit card required.
What are sweepstakes markets?
There are two types of markets on Manifold: play money and sweepstakes.
By default all markets are play money and use mana. These markets allow you to win more mana but do not award any prizes which can be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and allow winners to withdraw any sweepcash won to real money.
As play money and sweepstakes markets are independent of each other, they may have different odds even though they share the same question and comments.
Learn more.Related questions
When will the AfD be the largest party in Germany according to polls?
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
44% chance
Can Germany freeze AfD funding before August 2025?
2% chance
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?
3% chance
Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?
9% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
65% chance
WIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
29% chance
Will German far-right party AfD be banned by the German government?
5% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
59% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
23% chance